CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-05-06T18:24:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-05-06T18:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/38729/-1
CME Note: CME seen to the northwest in SOHO LASCO C2, C3 and GOES CCOR1. Not seen in STEREO A COR2 due to a data gap from 2025-05-06T19:23Z to 2025-05-07T01:53Z. The source is a large-scale filament eruption occurring near N45W20 best seen in GOES SUVI 284 and SDO AIA 304 which begins to lift off as early as 2025-05-06T14:45Z. The full filament liftoff can be seen leaving the disk starting at 2025-05-06T17:00Z. The CME features include a faster protruding nose ahead of the bulk of the CME.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-05-09T15:22Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.5 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 45.80 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-05-07T17:34Z
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